A medida que Bitcoin se acerca a $ 105k, ¿BTC cruzará un nuevo máximo histórico? – Evaluar ...
By: ambcrypto|2025/05/12 23:31:36
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El impulso de 3 meses de BTC se ha vuelto verde, pero las configuraciones similares han terminado en reversiones agudas. La tasa de financiación y el RSI sugieren un creciente optimismo, pero el volumen y la resistencia a $ 105k exigen precaución. Bitcoin [BTC] está de vuelta en el green en una línea de tiempo de tres meses, mostrando un cambio potencial en el impulso del mercado. Pero si bien el aumento ha provocado un optimismo cauteloso, los comerciantes experimentados aún no celebran. Las configuraciones pasadas como esta han llevado a reversiones agudas, manteniendo a los comerciantes cautelosos. Con Bitcoin acercándose a la zona crítica de $ 104,000- $ 105,000, los próximos días serán fundamentales, ¿se mantendrá o se desvanecerá rápidamente? Bitcoin: por qué el impulso de 3 meses es importante Los datos recientes muestran bitcoin Cambio porcentual de 3 meses Volteando decisivamente a un territorio positivo, una señal que históricamente ha precedido a los principales movimientos del mercado. Si bien este aumento puede insinuar el impulso de preparación, no siempre es optimista. Fuente: Alfractal Los ciclos pasados revelan que las fletos verdes similares a menudo ocurrieron justo antes de que la alfombra afilada tira de los comerciantes fuera de guardia. El cuadro muestra estos cambios porcentuales debajo de la línea de precios de BTC, marcando claramente los momentos de reversiones abruptas. En resumen: la configuración actual exige precaución. Momentum está construyendo, Pero sin un seguimiento sostenido, especialmente por encima del nivel de $ 104k– $ 105k, podría volver a ser una trampa de toros disfrazado. Precedentes históricos y sentimiento de comerciante El flip positivo históricamente corta en ambos sentidos. A principios de 2018, a mediados de 2019, y a fines de 2021, reversiones verdes similares precedieron a las agudas aguas, atrapando a los comerciantes de impulso en tirones de alfombras dolorosas. La configuración de hoy es similar, lo que hace que la precaución sea esencial. Complementando este telón de fondo, la tasa de financiación agregada ha aumentado constantemente, alcanzando su punto máximo en 0.0132 al momento de la publicación. Fuente: Coinalyze Esto indica un creciente sentimiento alcista a medida que los comerciantes se inclinan por mucho tiempo, aunque aún no a nivel eufórico. Si la tasa de financiación continúa subiendo, el mercado podría volverse volátil. La barrera de 104k-105k Bitcoin estaba probando la zona de resistencia de $ 104K-$ 105K al momento de la publicación, con indicadores de impulso que muestran incertidumbre. El RSI alcanzó el territorio de sobrecompra a 74.46, lo que sugiere un posible retroceso a menos que los toros mantengan presión. Mientras tanto, el obv se mantuvo moderado, lo que indica que el volumen no es compatible con el rally. Fuente: TradingView Tanto los SMA de 50 días como los 200 días se encuentran cómodamente debajo, lo que demuestra que el soporte a largo plazo permanece intacto. Si BTC infringe $ 105k con un volumen fuerte, es posible una ruptura hacia los nuevos máximos. Pero sin un aumento de volumen, el rechazo y la consolidación siguen siendo probables. Próximo: Dogwifhat: Comprender el aumento del 127% semanal del 127% de WIF, sin embargo, la preocupación se avecina como ... Esta es una traducción automática de nuestra versión en inglés. Share Share Tweet
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