El GBP/USD se desploma tras la tregua comercial entre EE.UU. y China que impulsa al Dólar estadounidense
By: fxstreet es|2025/05/12 23:45:07
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EE.UU. y China acuerdan una reducción de aranceles a 90 días; EE.UU. recorta al 30%, China al 10%, aliviando los temores de recesión global. El Dólar estadounidense se recupera por el optimismo del acuerdo; DXY sube más del 1% a su nivel más alto desde el 10 de abril. Los operadores del Reino Unido se preparan para una semana ocupada con datos de empleo, PIB y manufactura mientras los funcionarios del BoE adoptan un tono cauteloso. La Libra Esterlina (GBP) colapsó más de un 0.71% o 90 pips el lunes, tras los acontecimientos del fin de semana que impulsaron al Dólar estadounidense (USD). Las noticias sobre la desescalada de la guerra comercial entre EE.UU. y China pesaron sobre la Libra, que se desplomó desde alrededor de 1.3298. Al momento de escribir, GBP/USD cotiza en 1.3207. GBP/USD se desploma más del 0.71% tras la desescalada de aranceles que impulsa el sentimiento de riesgo y el DXY se dispara por encima de 101.50 EE.UU. y China acordaron reducir los aranceles, con EE.UU. reduciendo sus impuestos del 115% al 30% sobre los bienes chinos, mientras que Pekín recortó sus aranceles al 10% sobre las importaciones estadounidenses. El acuerdo es una pausa de 90 días, efectiva a partir del 14 de mayo. Los inversores acogieron la noticia mientras Wall Street abría en verde en medio de la especulación de que un acuerdo entre Washington y Pekín podría evitar que la economía global se deslice hacia una recesión. Mientras tanto, los comerciantes están atentos a la publicación de los datos del Índice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC) de EE.UU. junto con los datos de inflación en el frente del productor y las Ventas Minoristas. Mientras tanto, el Índice del Dólar estadounidense (DXY), que rastrea el rendimiento del Dólar estadounidense frente a seis otras monedas principales, ha subido más de un 1% a 101.54, su nivel más alto desde el 10 de abril. La agenda económica del Reino Unido contará con datos de empleo el martes, seguidos de PIB y datos de manufactura el jueves. Mientras tanto, los funcionarios del Banco de Inglaterra (BoE) están acaparando titulares. Megan Green del Banco de Inglaterra y la Vicegobernadora Clare Lombardelli expresaron que la inflación se está moviendo en la dirección correcta. Sin embargo, Lombardelli advirtió que se mantiene cautelosa y esperará evidencia de una desaceleración. Gráfico de precios del GBP/USD: Perspectiva técnica El rally del GBP/USD se detuvo ante las noticias optimistas de EE.UU., que enviaron al par hacia la media móvil simple (SMA) de 50 días de 1.3080, pero los vendedores carecieron de la fuerza para superar 1.3200 y los niveles de soporte posteriores en 1.3150 y la cifra de 1.3100. Un cierre diario por debajo del mínimo del 9 de mayo de 1.3211 podría allanar el camino para una semana negativa para la moneda, pero los catalizadores podrían mantener al GBP/USD dentro del nivel actual si los datos mantienen el statu quo. Por otro lado, si el GBP/USD sube por encima de 1.3250, el siguiente nivel de resistencia sería la media móvil simple (SMA) de 20 días en 1.3308. Una ruptura de este último expondrá el máximo del 6 de mayo en 1.3402.
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