Oro Previsión del Precio: XAU/USD permanece a la defensiva en medio de señales positivas de las conversaciones comerciales entre EE.UU. y China
By: fxstreet es|2025/05/13 09:45:06
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El precio del Oro cotiza en territorio negativo alrededor de 3.235$ en la sesión asiática del martes. EE.UU. y China acordaron desescalar su guerra comercial reduciendo los aranceles de importación sobre los bienes del otro durante 90 días. Los operadores se preparan para el informe de inflación del IPC de abril de EE.UU., que se publicará más tarde el martes. El precio del Oro (XAU/USD) baja a alrededor de 3.235$ durante la sesión asiática temprana del martes. El metal precioso se mantiene a la defensiva debido a un Dólar estadounidense (USD) más fuerte, mayores rendimientos en EE.UU. y optimismo sobre el acuerdo comercial entre EE.UU. y China. Más tarde el martes, los operadores tomarán más señales del informe del Índice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC) de abril de EE.UU. El sentimiento de riesgo mejorado tras el anuncio de un acuerdo temporal entre Estados Unidos (EE.UU.) y China para reducir los aranceles ha pesado sobre el activo de refugio seguro, como el precio del Oro. EE.UU. reducirá los aranceles adicionales que impuso a las importaciones chinas en abril de este año del 145% al 30%, y los aranceles chinos sobre las importaciones de EE.UU. se reducirán del 125% al 10%. Las nuevas medidas son efectivas por 90 días. "La desescalada de las tensiones entre China y EE.UU. está reduciendo la demanda de activos de refugio seguro como el oro," dijo Giovanni Staunovo, analista del banco suizo y aclarador de lingotes de Londres UBS. Los comerciantes de oro se preparan para los datos de inflación del IPC de EE.UU. el martes, que podrían ofrecer algunas pistas sobre la trayectoria de la política de la Reserva Federal (Fed) de EE.UU. Se espera que el IPC general muestre un aumento del 2.4% interanual en abril, mientras que se proyecta que el IPC subyacente muestre un aumento del 2.8% interanual en el mismo período del informe. Los mercados de swaps han descontado el primer recorte de tasas de 25 puntos básicos (pbs) de la Fed para la reunión de septiembre, y esperan dos reducciones adicionales hacia finales de año. La semana pasada, indicaron tres recortes este año, con un cambio probable tan pronto como en julio. El Primer Ministro de India, Narendra Modi, dijo el lunes que las operaciones contra Pakistán solo se han mantenido en suspenso, y el futuro dependerá de su comportamiento. Mientras tanto, el presidente ucraniano Volodymyr Zelensky señaló que está preparado para reunirse con el presidente ruso Vladimir Putin esta semana, poco después de que Trump le instara a "aceptar inmediatamente" la oferta del líder ruso para celebrar conversaciones de paz en Turquía. Cualquier signo de escalada de tensiones geopolíticas podría aumentar los flujos hacia activos de refugio seguro, beneficiando al metal amarillo.
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