CAD opera de manera defensiva mientras los diferenciales de rendimiento más amplios siguen siendo un lastre – Scotiabank
By: fxstreet es|2025/05/13 20:30:10
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El Dólar canadiense (CAD) entra en la sesión NA del martes con un leve descenso frente al Dólar estadounidense (USD) mientras continúa operando de manera defensiva tras el amplio rally del USD del lunes, señala Shaun Osborne, Jefe de Estrategia de FX de Scotiabank. USD/CAD parece bien soportado "El cambio en la perspectiva de la política del banco central ha sido un lastre para el CAD, ya que los mercados han reducido una buena parte de sus expectativas de recortes de la Fed a corto plazo, mientras mantienen una cantidad razonable de flexibilización por parte del BoC. La ampliación del diferencial de rendimiento entre los bonos a 2 años de EE.UU. y Canadá parece haber tomado una pausa, sin embargo, probablemente verá una reacción a la publicación del IPC de EE.UU. a las 8:30 am ET." "Para Canadá, no hay publicaciones programadas antes de los permisos de construcción del miércoles y los datos de ventas manufactureras del jueves. El calendario del Banco de Canadá también está vacío. En cuanto al comercio, los desarrollos han sido limitados tras la reunión de Trump/Carney del martes pasado." "El momentum es alcista, como lo demuestra el ascenso del RSI por encima de 50. El USD/CAD parece bien soportado mientras avanza hacia su media móvil de 200 días (1.4018) tras su reciente ruptura del nivel de retroceso del 61.8% del rally de septiembre/febrero en 1.3944. El siguiente nivel técnico importante es el punto medio del rango alrededor de 1.4100 y el nivel de congestión a mediados/fines de febrero alrededor de 1.4200. Buscamos soporte a corto plazo entre 1.3900 y 1.3850."
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