USD/CAD: El caso para 1.40+ es más fuerte ahora – ING
By: fxstreet es|2025/05/14 18:30:12
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La volatilidad observada del USD/CAD se ha reducido significativamente, ya que el loonie parece estar negociándose nuevamente como una extensión del sentimiento de crecimiento de EE.UU. – y por lo tanto está más correlacionado con el USD, señalan los analistas de FX de ING Francesco Pesole y Chris Turner. El caso para un regreso por encima de 1.40 es ahora bastante convincente "Mayo ha comenzado con un tono suave para el CAD, ya que el primer viaje del Primer Ministro Mark Carney para reunirse con Trump no sugirió que las tensiones entre EE.UU. y Canadá se reducirán pronto. Las renegociaciones del USMCA no serán tan rápidas como los acuerdos comerciales transcontinentales, ni para EE.UU. ni para Canadá." "Los riesgos a corto plazo están moderadamente al alza para el USD/CAD, ya que el valor justo a corto plazo del par aún se sitúa cerca de 1.42. Debería permanecer alguna prima de riesgo sobre el USD, pero el caso para un regreso por encima de 1.40 es ahora bastante convincente, también porque el deterioro de los datos internos podría llevar al Banco de Canadá a recortar tasas nuevamente en junio."
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