Bloomberg: El volumen de operaciones de Polymarket ha sido superado por Kalshi, y el diseño del mercado estadounidense ha enfrentado contratiempos con frecuencia
By: rootdata|2026/04/23 13:09:37
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Polymarket, que ha dominado durante mucho tiempo el mercado de predicciones volumen de operaciones, se enfrenta a múltiples desafíos. Según Dune Analytics, su volumen de operaciones global ha sido superado por el importante competidor Kalshi. En términos de valoración, Kalshi anunció una nueva ronda de financiamiento el mes pasado, alcanzando una valoración de $22 mil millones, mientras que la valoración de Polymarket es de $15 mil millones después de recibir una inversión de $600 millones de la Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
El mayor cuello de botella de Polymarket es la incapacidad de lanzar oficialmente en el mercado estadounidense, ya que su aplicación en EE. UU. todavía está en fase de prueba, con el volumen de operaciones de marzo siendo solo una vigésima parte del de Kalshi. Desafíos técnicos planteados por el blockchain-60">cadena de bloques La arquitectura, los retrasos repetidos en los lanzamientos de productos, los recientes ajustes de tarifas que causan insatisfacción del usuario y problemas como el intercambio que estuvo inactivo durante más de una hora siguen afectando a la plataforma.
Además, Polymarket ha enfrentado escrutinio por permitir a los usuarios apostar en temas controvertidos como la guerra y las explosiones nucleares, lo que llevó a legisladores demócratas en el Congreso a enviar una carta a la CFTC solicitando intervención. El director ejecutivo de ICE, Sprecher, sigue siendo optimista, pero admite que podría ser un fracaso total o un éxito rotundo.
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