Trump Tariffs Case Oral Argument to Begin Soon, Current Chance of Defeat Stands at 61%
bloque News, 5 de noviembre, la probabilidad en Polymarket de que Trump pierda el caso arancelario en la Corte Suprema se encuentra actualmente en 61%, y los apostadores esperan que la Corte probablemente rechace el argumento de Trump de “aranceles globales amplios sin la aprobación del Congreso”. Apenas unas horas después, la batalla de argumentos orales sobre los poderes económicos de emergencia del presidente está a punto de comenzar. (Los argumentos orales en la Corte Suprema de los Estados Unidos generalmente comienzan a las 10 a.m., hora del este, que son las 11 p.m., hora de Beijing, de hoy.)
bloque informó previamente que la Corte Suprema de Estados Unidos sostendrá hoy argumentos orales sobre si Trump puede imponer aranceles en virtud del IEEPA. El problema clave en el caso es: ¿Puede el presidente imponer amplios aranceles a los bienes importados de todo el mundo en virtud de la Ley de Poderes Económicos de Emergencia Internacional (IEEPA)? El impacto del caso va mucho más allá de la simple trade policy; el fallo de la Corte Suprema determinará si el presidente puede eludir al Congreso utilizando poderes de emergencia, lo que potencialmente convierte a esta práctica en una herramienta rutinaria de gobernanza y afecta profundamente la separación constitucional de poderes y los límites del poder presidencial.
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