Analysis: Bitcoin is under pressure again, and the risk sentiment in the US stock market is suppressing the cryptocurrency market

By: rootdata|2026/05/21 04:45:01
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بیت‌کوین پس از بازگشایی بازار سهام آمریکا در روز چهارشنبه دوباره تضعیف شد و پس از رسیدن به حدود ۷۷,۶۷۸ دلار، عقب‌نشینی کرد. این روند در ادامه الگوی ساختاری «قوی در ساعات معاملاتی آسیا، ضعیف در ساعات معاملاتی آمریکا» است که در هفته جاری مشاهده شد. بازار بر گزارش درآمد آتی انویدیا متمرکز است که از نظر چندین موسسه، یکی از محرک‌های اصلی نوسانات کلان در این فصل محسوب می‌شود.

در نتیجه، جو پیش از بازگشایی بازار سهام آمریکا محتاطانه بود؛ به طوری که شاخص S&P 500 در مقطعی حدود ۱.۳ درصد افت کرد و سپس اندکی بهبود یافت، اما اشتهای کلی برای ریسک همچنان ضعیف است. از نظر ساختار درون‌زنجیره‌ای و نقدی، شاخص پرمیوم کوین‌بیس به پایین‌ترین سطح چند ماه اخیر رسیده که نشان‌دهنده تداوم ضعف در تمایل به خرید در بازار آمریکا است. این شاخص اخیراً منفی باقی مانده که منعکس‌کننده تقاضای ناکافی در بازار نقدی منطقه آمریکا است؛ حتی با وجود بالا بودن قیمت‌های BTC، خرید حاشیه‌ای به همان نسبت افزایش نیافته است.

از دیدگاه فنی، بیت‌کوین بار دیگر به زیر میانگین متحرک نمایی ۲۱ هفته‌ای (21W EMA) سقوط کرده است. تحلیلگران اشاره می‌کنند که این سطح ممکن است از حمایت به مقاومت تبدیل شود و اگر قیمت نتواند به این سطح بازگردد، خطر نوسانات و اصلاح‌های کوتاه‌مدت افزایش خواهد یافت. به طور کلی، بازار در میان گزارش‌های مهم درآمدی شرکت‌های فناوری و عدم قطعیت‌های کلان، وارد حالت انتظار شده است.

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