CPI Showdown: December Inflation May See "Reflationary Rebound," Extreme Value Risk Alert

By: theblockbeats.news|2026/01/12 09:46:06

BlockBeats News, January 12th, the market generally expects that the December US CPI may experience a temporary rebound (data will be released this Tuesday at 21:30), mainly due to the statistical repair effect after the normalization of the Labor Statistics Bureau's survey, and does not necessarily mean a structural deterioration of inflation.

November non-farm payroll and CPI were announced close in time. The non-farm data shows that the US labor market continues to cool, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.6% (rounded to 4.573% before rounding), the highest level in nearly four years. However, affected by the aftermath of the government shutdown, the reliability of the data has been questioned, failing to significantly strengthen the market's expectation of an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve.

Interest rate futures show that the market generally expects that the January meeting will keep interest rates unchanged, and the first rate cut may occur in March, April, or June, but none has formed a consensus pricing of over 50%, showing a high degree of uncertainty in the path. The mainstream expectations for this CPI are as follows:

Overall CPI YoY: a slight increase from 3.0% to 3.1%
Core CPI YoY: maintained at 3.0%

Three scenario scenarios:
1. Meeting expectations: limited impact on risk assets, market focuses on key technical reactions.
2. Significantly above expectations (especially core CPI): concerns about inflation stickiness intensify, which may temporarily suppress risk appetite.
3. Unexpected significant decline (low probability): may resonate with weakening employment, strengthen easing expectations, bullish for risk assets.

The December CPI may become a short-term market volatility amplifier, and it is necessary to focus on preventing the impact of "extreme readings" on interest rate expectations and asset pricing.

WEEX Labs, the innovation arm of the global crypto exchange WEEX, launched the preliminary round of its flagship AI trading hackathon, AI Wars: WEEX Alpha Awakens, on January 12, 2026. Backed by world-class sponsors including AWS, the prize pool has reached $1.88 million, with a Bentley Bentayga S awaiting the champion in Dubai. Already, 788 elite teams worldwide are battling for a spot in the finals. This is more than a hackathon — it is a real-market stress test for AI trading. Registration remains open until January 18. If you want your AI to face real volatility, this is your moment.

VanEck Q1 Market Outlook: Long-Term Bullish on Cryptocurrency, Strong Gold Demand

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty is Decreasing, AI and Gold Price Adjustment are Creating Allocation Opportunities, while Cryptocurrencies Remain Bullish in the Long Term.

BNB Chain 2025 Year-End Review: Self-Traversal, Trade Everything

With the launch of Binance's effect, Meme on BSC has once again gained market attention, and the significant wealth effect and traffic have refocused the market on this five-year-old mainnet

Matrixdock releases latest semi-annual physical gold audit report, strengthening physical gold transparency practices

Matrixport's RWA Platform Matrixdock recently released its H2 2025 Half-Year Physical Gold Audit Report. The report focuses on the physical gold reserve backing the XAUm token, showcasing Matrixdock's ongoing commitment to physical asset verification and information transparency.

Mantra Slashes Staff and Restructures Following ‘Brutal’ OM Token Collapse

Key Takeaways The OM token experienced a dramatic price collapse, prompting a significant restructure within Mantra, including job…

Key Market Information Discrepancy on January 15th - A Must-See! | Alpha Morning Report

1. Top News: Current Rebound Triggers Largest Short Squeeze Since “1011”, Over $577 Million in Short Liquidations in the Past 24 Hours 2. Token Unlock: $SEI, $NYAN

Price Alert Feature Is Now Live

Stay Informed of Key Market Movements with our new Price Alert feature!