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Kalshi announces the launch of Kalshi Research, its first research report stating that its inflation predictions outperformed Wall Street
BlockBeats News, December 23, Prediction market Kalshi announced the launch of Kalshi Research. Kalshi Research will open Kalshi's internal data to researchers for studying topics related to research and prediction markets. The first research report has been released: Kalshi Outperforms Wall Street Consensus Expectations in Inflation Prediction.
Previously reported, the report pointed out that Kalshi found through comparison of its platform's inflation predictions with Wall Street consensus expectations that, based on market traders' forecasts during a 25-month observation period, the accuracy of predictions was higher than that of traditional economists and analysts, with this advantage being particularly significant during economic volatility. Specifically, the research found that from February 2023 to mid-2025, the estimated year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) by the prediction market had an average error rate 40% lower than the consensus forecast. When there were significant deviations between actual data and expectations, the prediction market's advantage became more prominent, with its accuracy exceeding the consensus expectations by up to 67%.
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