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Next Week Outlook: The Fed will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, followed by a press conference by Powell.
BlockBeats News, October 25th, Next week, due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, key data from the U.S. will be scarce, but many central banks will hold interest rate meetings, including the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan, among others. Here are the key points that the market will focus on in the new week (all times in Beijing time):
Thursday 02:00, Federal Reserve announces interest rate decision;
Thursday 02:30, Federal Reserve Chair Powell holds a monetary policy press conference;
Friday 01:15, 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Kaplan speaks;
Friday 21:30, 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Kaplan speaks;
Until there is a clearer understanding of both inflation and the labor market, Powell is unlikely to significantly change his language regarding the future policy path while announcing a 25 basis point rate cut. Therefore, considering the recent trade tensions and the ongoing government shutdown, Powell and his colleagues' statements on Thursday may be slightly dovish, but the magnitude may not be significant. Even dovish members like Bullard are unwilling to commit in advance to a series of rate cuts. If the Fed questions the market's expectations of a path that includes cutting rates by another 100 basis points after October, the risk of disappointment for traders will increase. (Jin10)
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