Análise: O impacto dos choques do petróleo nos Estados Unidos é relativamente pequeno, e o Bitcoin pode se beneficiar disso
By: rootdata|2026/03/09 16:43:41
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Segundo a CoinDesk, apesar do conflito entre os EUA e Israel elevar os preços do petróleo acima de US$ 100 por barril, o Bitcoin permaneceu relativamente estável em torno de US$ 67.000 na última semana.
Analistas apontam que isso pode estar relacionado à estreita correlação do Bitcoin com o mercado de ações dos EUA — como os EUA são exportadores líquidos de petróleo e têm menor dependência do petróleo do Oriente Médio, o mercado de ações americano demonstrou relativa resiliência, beneficiando também o Bitcoin. Dados mostram que os EUA importam petróleo principalmente do Canadá e do México, com apenas 4% vindo da Arábia Saudita, tornando o país amplamente imune a interrupções de fornecimento no Estreito de Ormuz. Desde que o conflito eclodiu em 28 de fevereiro, os futuros do S&P 500 e da Nasdaq caíram pouco mais de 3%, enquanto o índice Nikkei caiu 10%, o Nifty da Índia 5% e o Kospi da Coreia do Sul mais de 16%.
Analistas observam que, com o lançamento de ETFs à vista e as expectativas de flexibilização regulatória após a vitória de Trump, o Bitcoin evoluiu gradualmente para um quase ativo de risco dos EUA, cada vez mais correlacionado às condições financeiras americanas. Além disso, o Bitcoin já havia recuado para cerca de US$ 60.000 antes do conflito, liberando a pressão de venda de curto prazo e fornecendo uma base relativamente estável para o preço atual.
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