Gold Price Forecasted at $4,500 to $5,000, Central Bank Net Purchases Increase by 62%
Prefer us on GoogleState Street Investment Management has suggested that international gold prices could reach $4,500 to $5,000 per ounce. The central banks' gold purchases, the U.S. fiscal deficit, and interest rate trajectories have been cited as structural factors driving the rise in gold prices. In the second quarter, global central banks' net gold purchases amounted to 289 tons, a 62% increase compared to the same period last year, marking a seasonal record high. The National Bank of Poland emerged as the largest buyer in the second quarter, purchasing 51 tons, while the People's Bank of China added 33 tons. China's gold purchases in the first half of the year reached 40 tons, with official reserves reported at 2,346 tons. Akashi Toshi, head of State Street, emphasized that central bank demand will serve as a structural support for gold prices. Additionally, the U.S. Congressional Budget Office projects that the ratio of privately held federal government debt to GDP will reach 120% by 2026. Gold prices may fluctuate depending on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, dollar flows, and the continuation of central bank purchases.
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