Market participants expect little change in the federal funds rate target range this year
By: rootdata|2026/05/21 04:45:01
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Согласно сообщениям Jinshi, протоколы заседания Федеральной резервной системы указывают на то, что участники рынка ожидают незначительных изменений в целевом диапазоне ставки по федеральным фондам в этом году. Подразумеваемая вероятность повышения ставки в первом квартале 2027 года, основанная на ценах опционов, составляет около 30%. Опросы показывают, что в следующем году ожидается два снижения ставки на 25 базисных пунктов, причем сроки снижения ожидаются позже, чем в предыдущем опросе: в третьем или четвертом квартале 2026 года и в первом квартале 2027 года соответственно.
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