Probability of the CLARITY Act Being Signed into Law in 2026 Rises to 30%

The probability of the CLARITY Act (H.R.3633) being signed into law in 2026 has risen to 30% on Polymarket, recovering from a low of 12% on August 31. The total trading volume for this event is approximately $15.67 million. Market rules state that if the CLARITY Act is passed by both houses of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the President before 12:59 PM on January 1, 2027, the market will resolve to "yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "no." The bill is considered signed into law as long as it is enacted through any mechanism, regardless of whether it is personally signed by the President.

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