Willy Woo analizuje ryzyko likwidacji Strategy w bear market: cena akcji musi przekroczyć 183,19 USD do września 2027
By: theblockbeats.news|2025/11/05 18:15:52
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BlockBeats News, 5 listopada, analityk kryptowalut Willy Woo opublikował artykuł analizujący, czy "Strategy zostanie zlikwidowane w kolejnym bear market". Wymienił datę zapadalności długu Strategy, kwotę zadłużenia, próg cenowy akcji MSTR (aby zapobiec likwidacji) oraz równoważną cenę BTC (zakładając, że mNAV wynosi 1). Dług Strategy składa się głównie z zamiennych obligacji uprzywilejowanych, które można spłacić w terminie gotówką, akcjami zwykłymi lub kombinacją obu. Strategy ma około 10,1 miliarda USD długu zapadającego 15 września 2027 roku. Aby uniknąć konieczności sprzedaży Bitcoin, aby spłacić dług, cena akcji Strategy w tym czasie musi wynosić powyżej 183,19 USD, co odpowiada cenie Bitcoin na poziomie około 91 502 USD.
Willy Woo dodał, że w zakładanym bull market po halvingu w 2028 roku, jeśli BTC nie wzrośnie wystarczająco, mogą wystąpić pewne ryzyka likwidacji, ale prawdopodobieństwo likwidacji w bear market jest niskie, chyba że nastąpi ekstremalne i długotrwałe pogorszenie koniunktury.
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